NFL Week 7 Picks

Baltimore (-3) over Buffalo (h)

(h) Detroit (-2) over Tampa Bay

New England over Miami (+16.5) (h)

Atlanta (+8) over New Orleans (h)

(h) New York Giants over San Francisco (+9)

(h) Washington over Arizona (+8)

(h) Houston (1.5) over Tennessee

(h) Cincinnati (-6) over New York Jets

(h) Oakland (-2.5) over Kansas City

Dallas over Minnesota (+9.5) (h)

(h) Philadelphia over Chicago (+5.5)

(h) Seattle (-8.5) over St Louis

Pittsburgh (-3.5) over Denver (h)

(h) Jacksonville (+3) over Indianapolis

NFL Week 6 Picks

(h) Chicago over Minnesota (+6)

(h)Green Bay (-3) over Washington

(h) Dallas (+5.5) over New England
Dallas squeaked one out last week against the Bills. I'm sure Tony Romo's five interceptions were a fluke, but if that happens again, this game won't be close. I think they were looking ahead, but will be prepared this week against the Patriots. Of course, I've been picking against the Pats all season, so what do I know?


(h) Cleveland over Miami (+4.5)
I know, I'm picking against my team, even though I will have a bet going with my Browns friend. But this pick is made with my head, not my heart.

(h) Kansas City (+3) over Cincinnati
The Chiefs should be able to run on the Bengals weak defense. If they can establish the run early, then taking the home underdog is a sure bet.

Philadelphia (-3) over NY Jets (h)
I'd like to pick the Jets in this one, but they can't hold on to a lead in a game.

Tennessee (+3) over Tampa Bay (h)

Houston (+6.5) over Jacksonville (h)
The Jags will be caught off guard by an improved Texans team.

(h) Baltimore over St Louis (+9.5)

(h) Arizona (-0) over Carolina
I don't have much faith in David Carr in Carolina.

(h) San Diego over Oakland (+10)

(h) Seattle (-6.5) over New Orleans

NY Giants over Atlanta (h) (+3)

Big Ten backer doing the Gator Chomp

I was pleasantly surprised while watching ESPN's College Gameday this morning. Kirk Herbstreit actually picked the Florida Gators to beat LSU.

I have nothing against Herbie, Lee Corso, and the "sane" guy who runs the show, but none of them have ever been Gator fans. Herbie always picks the Big Ten, and Lee is a Seminole nut.

So, Herbie's upset special is the Gators knocking off the #1 team in the country. If the Gators can pull it off, they will be right back in the National Championship picture.

I am pulling for the Gators to run the table, and for Auburn to win their side of the SEC. Then we can get revenge on the Tigers in the SEC Championship, before beating USC (or South Florida???) for the National Championship.

2007 NFL week 5 picks

After two consecutive winning weeks, I took a big step backwards last week. It was a strange work all around.

Let's see if I can do better this week.

(h) Tennessee (-8) over Atlanta
Atlanta's defense is allowing 128.5 yards. rushing a game, and Tennessee's offense averages over 170. Look for the Titans to control the clock and the game.

Jacksonville (-2) over Kansas City (h)
The Chiefs are coming off of a big win over the Chargers. Could this be the turning point for KC? Not against the Jaguars defense.

(h) St. Louis (+3.5) over Arizona
The Rams hope benching Marc Bulges will lift the team out of its losing streak. I'm going with the Rams because I think the Cardinals will have a letdown from last weeks big win over Pittsburgh.

(h) New England over Cleveland (+16)
How good are the Patriots this year? On paper this game seems like a blowout. But the Browns have figured something out under QB Derek Andersen. They will do something no one has been able to do so far: Keep the score within two touchdowns.

(h) New Orleans (-3) over Carolina
David Carr should perform better against a weak Saints defense, but I am not ready to throw in the towel on New Orleans.

(h)N.Y. Giants over N.Y. Jets (+3.5)

(h) Pittsburgh over Seattle (+5.5)
I don't see Pittsburgh losing two in a row, but I do see Seattle having a chance to win in the end.

Detroit (+3.5) over Washington (h)
Call this my upset special of the week. I think Detroit's passing offense is better than Washington's defense.

(h) Houston over Miami (+5.5)
The Phins have looked bad, and the Texans should be able to run against them.

(h) Indianapolis (-10) over Tampa Bay
Road game and no "Cadillac." The Bucs are a better team this year, but Indy continues to roll.

San Diego (+1.5) over Denver (h)
Denver is not a good team, but thus far this season neither is San Diego.

Baltimore (-3) over San Francisco (h)
This could be a blowout. The Niners are hurting.

Chicago (+3.5) over Green Bay (h)
I expect a bounce-back game for the Bears. They can't afford to drop too far behind in the suddenly-competitive NFC North.

Dallas (-10) over Buffalo (h)
Should be a blowout, but stranger things have happened.

College Football Momentum Tracker

The College Football Momentum Tracker measures in net change in votes a team receives in the Associated Press and USA Today Coaches' Polls. It takes a deeper look into the polls themselves and shows you how the writers and coaches' opinions of teams are changing.

Teams at the top of the polls have more room to fall than to rise, and vice versa. Keep that in mind when you read the Rising and Falling lists below.


Rising
With all the upsets of this week, the biggest winners are those teams ranked outside of the top 10 last week. USF's victory over Auburn looks even better since Auburn knocked off Florida. Combine that with last week's upset of West Virginia, and USF is the biggest winner of them all this week.


1USF+1173
2Kentucky+861
3Arizona State+606
4Boston College+502
5Georgia+496
6Wisconsin+466
7Ohio State+448
8California+438
9Purdue+417
10South Carolina+392


















Falling


This week's biggest loser (take your pick): Florida, West Virginia, Texas, Oklahoma, Rutgers, Clemson, Oregon. Carnage all around the college football world this past week. Good news is that a loss now does not necessarily remove you from the National Championship picture, but it does make it tough.

1Texas-1277
2Rutgers-1263
3Clemson-1031
4West Virginia-1031
5Oklahoma-875
6Florida-733
7Penn State-718
8Alabama-408
9Oregon-288
10Michigan State-148